图书简介
Mathematics is focused on formal manipulation of abstract concepts, while statistics deals with real-world data and involves a higher degree of subjectivity due to the role of interpretation. Interpretation is shaped by context as well as the knowledge, biases, assumptions or preconceptions of the interpreter, leading to a variety of potential interpretations of concepts as well as results. This book thoroughly examines the distinct philosophical approaches to statistics – Bayesian, frequentist, and likelihood – arising from different interpretations of probability and uncertainty. These differences are highlighted through a variety of puzzles and paradoxes.Features:Exploration of the philosophy of knowledge and truth and how they relate to deductive and inductive reasoning, and ultimately scientific and statistical thinking.Discussion of the philosophical theories of probability that are wider than the standard Bayesian and frequentist views.Exposition and examination of Savage’s axioms as the basis of subjective probability and Bayesian statistics.Explanation of likelihood and likelihood-based inference, including the controversy surrounding the likelihood principle.Discussion of fiducial probability and its evolution to confidence procedure.Introduction of extended and hierarchical likelihood for handling random parameters, with the recognition of confidence as extended likelihood, leading to epistemic confidence as an objective measure of uncertainty for single events.Detailed analyses and new variations of classic paradoxes, such as the Monty Hall puzzle, the paradox of the ravens, the exchange paradox, etc.Substantive yet non-technical, catering to readers with only introductory exposure to the theory probability and statistics.This book primarily targets statisticians, including both undergraduate and graduate students, as well as re
1 Philosophical Theories of Knowledge and Truth
2 Deduction and Induction
3 Hilbert’s Broken Dream: Limitations of Deductive Reasoning
4 ‘Real’ Scientific Process
5 The Rise of Probability
6 Philosophical Theories of Probability
7 Rereading Savage
8 Inverse Probability Method
9 What Prior?
10 Likelihood
11 P-value and Confidence
12 Extended Likelihood
13 Epistemic Confidence
14 Paradoxes of Savage’s Axioms
15 Fallacious Fallacies
16 Monty Hall Puzzle and the Three Prisoners Paradox
17 Lottery Paradox and the Cold Suspect Puzzle
18 Paradox of the Ravens
19 Exchange Paradox
Trade Policy 买家须知
- 关于产品:
- ● 正版保障:本网站隶属于中国国际图书贸易集团公司,确保所有图书都是100%正版。
- ● 环保纸张:进口图书大多使用的都是环保轻型张,颜色偏黄,重量比较轻。
- ● 毛边版:即书翻页的地方,故意做成了参差不齐的样子,一般为精装版,更具收藏价值。
关于退换货:
- 由于预订产品的特殊性,采购订单正式发订后,买方不得无故取消全部或部分产品的订购。
- 由于进口图书的特殊性,发生以下情况的,请直接拒收货物,由快递返回:
- ● 外包装破损/发错货/少发货/图书外观破损/图书配件不全(例如:光盘等)
并请在工作日通过电话400-008-1110联系我们。
- 签收后,如发生以下情况,请在签收后的5个工作日内联系客服办理退换货:
- ● 缺页/错页/错印/脱线
关于发货时间:
- 一般情况下:
- ●【现货】 下单后48小时内由北京(库房)发出快递。
- ●【预订】【预售】下单后国外发货,到货时间预计5-8周左右,店铺默认中通快递,如需顺丰快递邮费到付。
- ● 需要开具发票的客户,发货时间可能在上述基础上再延后1-2个工作日(紧急发票需求,请联系010-68433105/3213);
- ● 如遇其他特殊原因,对发货时间有影响的,我们会第一时间在网站公告,敬请留意。
关于到货时间:
- 由于进口图书入境入库后,都是委托第三方快递发货,所以我们只能保证在规定时间内发出,但无法为您保证确切的到货时间。
- ● 主要城市一般2-4天
- ● 偏远地区一般4-7天
关于接听咨询电话的时间:
- 010-68433105/3213正常接听咨询电话的时间为:周一至周五上午8:30~下午5:00,周六、日及法定节假日休息,将无法接听来电,敬请谅解。
- 其它时间您也可以通过邮件联系我们:customer@readgo.cn,工作日会优先处理。
关于快递:
- ● 已付款订单:主要由中通、宅急送负责派送,订单进度查询请拨打010-68433105/3213。
本书暂无推荐
本书暂无推荐