图书简介
This book reflects on work done through the Managing Extreme Technological Risk (METR) project, a pioneering research programme within the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk. METR has been both an exercise in ’academic engineering’ to address major global challenges, and a research programme that extends beyond traditional academic outputs, to methodological development, and innovative forms of expert engagement and outreach.Managing Extreme Technological Risk explores how the METR programme developed a model that is needed to effectively understand risks to the survival of humanity, as well as their management and mitigation. It reflects on the challenges faced and lessons learned in the process of building a research community focused on this aim. This book brings together findings and future considerations from a key formative phase, not just for the Centre, but for the field of existential risk research as a whole. It relates the story of this journey and outlines some of the programme’s specific findings. There is a greater focus on what has been learnt for approaching the study of existential risks and how this can, and must, be taken forward by others, urgently and at scale.Key FeaturesThe urgency of addressing the most significant threats to humanity’s future is increasingly recognized not only by scholars but also by policy makers and the general publicInstead of focusing on delineating or classifying existential and global catastrophic risk, this book examines the process of building a research community aimed at gaining effective understanding of such risks
List of Figures, Tables, Diagrams; List of Abbreviations and Acronyms; About the Contributors; Managing Extreme Technological Risk; Extreme Risk and the Culture of Science: Introduction; Ambiguous Science; Standards; Policy; Conclusion; Risk and Scientific Reputation: Lessons from Cold Fusion: CSER and Maverick Science; My Dinner with Andrea (December 2015); The View from 2016; Postscript (May 2017); Meeting Some of the Mavericks (2017–2018); Icebergs in the Room? Cold Fusion at 30 (March 2019); Meeting McKubre; Google Joins the Search; The Global LENR Landscape — Updates Since 2019; Summary — the State of the Field; Recommendations; The Bats Come Home to Roost in Silicon Valley; Final Remarks on LENR; Foreseeing Extreme Technological Risk: Introduction; Horizon Scans; The Existential Risk Research Assessment; Next Steps: A Systems Approach; Conclusions; Evaluating Extreme Technological Risk: A Social Contract Based Approach: The Intergenerational Nature of the Social Contract; Our Obligations to the Past; Our Obligations to the Future; Our Obligations to Humanity as a Whole; Conclusion; Responsibility and the Management of Extreme Technological Risk: Bio(techno)logical Risks: Introduction; The Web of Prevention; Responsible (Research and) Innovation; Bio(techno)logical Risks of Concern; Interaction of Scientific and Technological Advances and Biotechnological Risks; Approaches to Responsible / Responsibility in Life Sciences Research; Conclusion and Challenges Remaining; A Decade of Responsible Innovation by the AI Community 2012–2022: Analysing Recent Achievements and Future Prospects: Introduction; Recent Examples: 2012–2022; Analytical Frameworks: Three Lenses; Discussion and Further Research; Conclusion; From Evaluation to Action: Ethics, Epistemology and Extreme Technological Risk: Introduction; A Brief History of Managing Extreme Technological Risk at CSER and Beyond; Seven Questions About Managing Extreme Technological Risk; Conclusion; Index
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